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Projected population growth

The Sault will grow by almost 10,000 people, primarily from people coming and settling down here to fill new jobs and replace retiring Baby Boomers.


Projected increase is from 73,400 residents in 2016 to 83,300 residents in 2036.

Net change from in-migration: increase of 18,000 people.

Net change from births: decrease of 8,000 people.

Need: 4,000 new homes.


Population distribution in 2016, based on the Canada census:

  • 0 to 14 years: 14%.
  • 15 to 64 years: 63%.
  • 65 years or older: 22%.


Population distribution in 2036, based on projections:

  • 0 to 14 years: 16%.
  • 15 to 64 years: 59%.
  • 65 years or older: 25%.

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Projected employment growth

Health and social services will continue as the top employer in the Sault. Manufacturing jobs will drop slightly but still be one of the top sectors.


Top sectors in 2016, based on the Canada census:

  1. Health and social services.
  2. Retail trade.
  3. Manufacturing.
  4. Accommodation and food.
  5. Government.


Top sectors in 2036, based on projections:

  1. Health and social services.
  2. Retail trade.
  3. Manufacturing.
  4. Accommodation and food.
  5. Education.


Projected increase is from 31,000 jobs in 2016 to 36,900 jobs in 2036, for a total change of approximately 6,000 jobs.


Change in job numbers by sector:

  • Health and social services: increase of 1,200 jobs.
  • Business services: increase of 1,100 jobs.
  • Construction: increase of 700 jobs.
  • Accommodation and food: increase of 600 jobs.
  • Professional, scientific and technical services: increase of 600 jobs.
  • Arts, entertainment and recreation: increase of 600 jobs.
  • Education: increase of 600 jobs.
  • Wholesale trade: increase of 200 jobs.
  • Retail trade: increase of 200 jobs.
  • Finance, insurance and real estate: increase of 200 jobs.
  • Manufacturing: decrease of 300 jobs.


Note: Other sectors change by less than approximately 100 jobs. 

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Files for Download

Shape the Sault - Housing Community Profile Jan 2020 (pdf)

Download

Dillon Consulting Report - Population Projections and Land Needs Analysis (pdf)

Download

January 2019 Council Presentation - Population Projections (pdf)

Download

Commercial Vacancy Map 24"x36" (pdf)

Download

Media Coverage on these Projections

We shared our 20-year population and employment projections to City Council on January 28, 2019. Thanks to local media outlets for sharing this information.