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Land Use for Sault Ste. Marie's next 20 years

Projected population growth

The Sault will grow by almost 10,000 people, primarily from people coming and settling down here to fill new jobs and replace retiring Baby Boomers.


Projected increase is from 73,400 residents in 2016 to 83,300 residents in 2036.

Net change from in-migration: increase of 18,000 people.

Net change from births: decrease of 8,000 people.


Population distribution in 2016, based on the Canada census:

  • 0 to 14 years: 14%.
  • 15 to 64 years: 63%.
  • 65 years or older: 22%.


Population distribution in 2036, based on projections:

  • 0 to 14 years: 16%.
  • 15 to 64 years: 59%.
  • 65 years or older: 25%.

Projected employment growth

Health and social services will continue as the top employer in the Sault. Manufacturing jobs will drop slightly but still be one of the top sectors.


Top sectors in 2016, based on the Canada census:

  1. Health and social services.
  2. Retail trade.
  3. Manufacturing.
  4. Accommodation and food.
  5. Government.


Top sectors in 2036, based on projections:

  1. Health and social services.
  2. Retail trade.
  3. Manufacturing.
  4. Accommodation and food.
  5. Education.


Projected increase is from 31,000 jobs in 2016 to 36,900 jobs in 2036, for a total change of approximately 6,000 jobs.


Change in job numbers by sector:

  • Health and social services: increase of 1,200 jobs.
  • Business services: increase of 1,100 jobs.
  • Construction: increase of 700 jobs.
  • Accommodation and food: increase of 600 jobs.
  • Professional, scientific and technical services: increase of 600 jobs.
  • Arts, entertainment and recreation: increase of 600 jobs.
  • Education: increase of 600 jobs.
  • Wholesale trade: increase of 200 jobs.
  • Retail trade: increase of 200 jobs.
  • Finance, insurance and real estate: increase of 200 jobs.
  • Manufacturing: decrease of 300 jobs.


Note: Other sectors change by approximately 100 jobs or less.

What do these projections mean in terms of Sault Ste. Marie's 20-year land needs?

There is enough vacant urban land to accommodate our projected population growth, which requires around 4,000 new homes. No expansion of the Urban Settlement Area is needed.


The Sault has more than enough land for new industrial development - that is, development that provides industrial-type jobs such as construction, wholesale trade, manufacturing, transportation and warehousing, and utilities.


There is a deficit of land specifically designated for commercial uses, but these can often be accommodated on other lands. This is true especially since most of the Sault's commercial land demand is for non-retail commercial uses, such as business and professional offices, hospitality uses, and arts & entertainment.


There is also a deficit of land specifically designated for institutional uses such as schools and health care facilities, but again, these can often be accommodated on other lands.


The full report from Dillon Consulting titled Population, Housing and Employment Projections – Commercial and Industrial Land Needs Analysis is available for download below.

Materials for Download

Dillon Consulting Report - Population Projections and Land Needs Analysis (pdf)

Download

Land Use Information Boards - March 2020 (pdf)

Download

Proposed Land Use Schedule 'C' (pdf)

Download

Vacant Land Inventory Map (pdf)

Download

Commercial Vacant Floor Space Inventory Map (pdf)

Download

January 2019 Council Presentation - Population Projections (pdf)

Download

Shape the Sault Housing Community Profile - Jan 2020 (pdf)

Download

Existing Land Use Schedule 'C' - since 2012 (pdf)

Download

Media Coverage on Population & Employment Projections

We shared our 20-year population and employment projections to City Council on January 28, 2019. Thanks to local media outlets for sharing this information.

  • Sault Online on January 29: Aging Baby Boomers to Contribute to Population Growth, Experts Say.
  • Sault Star on January 29: Happy days are (almost) here again: Expert.
  • CTV on January 28: Population projection in Sault Ste. Marie.
  • SooToday on January 25: City-commissioned report predicts we'll need 4,000 new homes over next 20 years.
  • Sault Star on January 25: Expert predicts population growth of almost 10K by 2036.
  • Sault Online on January 25: What is the Population Projection for the Sault?

Watch the presentation at Council

City of Sault Ste. Marie - Planning & Enterprise Services